Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.642431 0.834621 1.052194 1.313539 1.615768 1.951293 2.348908
2025-03-16 0.372793 0.604990 0.904746 1.305135 1.811398 2.416690 3.181352
2025-03-23 0.244899 0.496805 0.864446 1.401393 2.128896 3.046642 4.257914
2025-03-30 0.155324 0.403199 0.813396 1.464387 2.400833 3.635400 5.322060
2025-04-06 0.092671 0.320413 0.751336 1.492530 2.618312 4.160335 6.328919
2025-04-13 0.047065 0.237920 0.661404 1.455507 2.729532 4.540179 7.156458
2025-04-20 0.024336 0.187790 0.611436 1.468557 2.907508 5.013577 8.121412
2025-04-27 0.011430 0.148929 0.568956 1.483029 3.082245 5.484278 9.093672
2025-05-04 0.003466 0.107499 0.501694 1.436609 3.149426 5.795115 9.847636
2025-05-11 0.000517 0.074821 0.438213 1.382078 3.192486 6.065327 10.546103
2025-05-18 0.000024 0.057311 0.408412 1.389557 3.338537 6.493702 11.480066
2025-05-25 NaN 0.038999 0.361513 1.348396 3.391413 6.775565 12.203980
2025-06-01 NaN 0.034121 0.365983 1.430329 3.679353 7.446520 13.532614
2025-06-08 NaN 0.024314 0.338796 1.429945 3.813184 7.876326 14.514467
2025-06-15 NaN 0.022544 0.352829 1.536927 4.157909 8.657809 16.041923
2025-06-22 NaN 0.018966 0.352810 1.606444 4.433104 9.332994 17.421824
2025-06-29 NaN 0.014333 0.339694 1.637707 4.633887 9.890473 18.632972
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008529 0.304570 1.598930 4.690431 10.208213 19.482145
2025-07-13 NaN 0.005724 0.288781 1.613184 4.854216 10.708653 20.620152
2025-07-20 NaN 0.003707 0.274550 1.628788 5.020110 11.215061 21.773904
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001602 0.242827 1.579393 5.043487 11.476027 22.547341
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000477 0.211525 1.521263 5.041517 11.690239 23.248388
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000169 0.199419 1.529268 5.185224 12.162105 24.364049